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Red75
817723.4
769114.7
258527.5
Blue49
526119.5
648821.5
95219.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83600501001507549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+40Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
37Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points20
75Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.3
29.830.1
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 6.1
6488
#11
21.51.4
21.219.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
8177
#23
23.40.2
22.422.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
red by 3.9
19.51.4
16.114.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Third
7691
#24
14.70.3
13.613.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 5.7
9521
#29
9.02.0
12.010.0
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned