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Red109
541434.9
965821.1
711510.3
Blue99
882721.4
288211.6
432814.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7748020406010012014016010999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
75Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
109Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.92.0
27.429.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 13.5
8827
#26
21.42.4
16.719.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
Second
21.12.0
16.518.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 7.2
4328
#14
14.02.4
9.712.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Third
7115
#25
10.33.1
11.714.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 1.3
2882
#12
11.62.4
9.912.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned