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Red65
814413.1
1011830.9
648821.5
Blue48
951720.1
951513.8
95219.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865002040601001201406548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
46Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
65Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.9
30.229.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
red by 10.8
9517
#10
20.10.2
15.815.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
Second
6488
#11
21.50.9
19.919.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 7.7
9515
#20
13.80.2
12.412.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Third
8144
#19
13.10.9
13.012.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 4.1
9521
#29
9.00.3
10.09.7
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned