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Red85
432814.0
913726.7
589415.9
Blue57
125514.8
817723.4
288211.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476102040801001208557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
72Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
85Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.9
18.321.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
red by 3.3
8177
#23
23.40.1
22.622.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
Second
5894
#15
15.92.9
8.611.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
red by 1.1
1255
#21
14.80.1
14.714.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
4328
#14
14.02.9
12.114.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 2.4
2882
#12
11.60.1
12.312.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed