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Red85
913726.7
839210.9
1011830.9
Blue67
648821.5
458717.1
851516.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040507080901008567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
55Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
85Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.9
28.229.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
red by 9.5
6488
#11
21.50.0
19.619.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
26.70.9
12.813.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
red by 9.6
4587
#22
17.10.0
14.013.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Third
8392
#18
10.90.9
11.312.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 5.9
8515
#17
16.80.0
17.717.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed