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Red32
951513.8
95165.4
711510.3
Blue24
589415.9
95219.0
459711.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493602060801001203224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#1
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
18Foul points14
32Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9515
#20
13.81.9
15.013.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
blue by 2.1
5894
#15
15.91.6
8.06.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Second
7115
#25
10.33.1
15.011.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 1.5
4597
#31
11.81.6
9.78.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
9516
#27
5.43.1
12.08.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 3.6
9521
#29
9.02.7
16.513.8
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed