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Red83
459711.8
769114.7
1001434.8
Blue87
1011830.9
851516.8
258527.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631002040801201408387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
61Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points4
83Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.1
29.530.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
red by 3.9
30.90.6
29.428.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
Second
7691
#24
14.71.6
13.915.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 12.8
27.50.8
30.129.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Third
4597
#31
11.81.1
9.610.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 4.9
8515
#17
16.80.6
17.717.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned