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Red83
965821.1
458717.1
384756.0
Blue103
711510.3
11885.7
348115.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911445010020083103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#9
30Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points2
83Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.3
52.752.4
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
blue by 29.7
118
#1
85.71.0
84.483.4
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
Second
21.10.3
18.518.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 5.8
3481
#13
15.31.0
16.415.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
4587
#22
17.10.3
14.614.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 6.9
7115
#25
10.31.4
14.813.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned