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Red135
648821.5
882721.4
913726.7
Blue84
125514.8
1011830.9
95219.0
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82735010015013584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points42
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
93Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
18Foul points2
135Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.0
21.123.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
blue by 4.2
30.90.1
28.828.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
Second
6488
#11
21.52.0
19.021.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 6.7
1255
#21
14.80.1
14.614.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
8827
#26
21.42.0
18.820.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
red by 12.4
9521
#29
9.00.1
9.79.8
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned