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Red96
1001434.8
589415.9
965821.1
Blue122
541434.9
384756.0
951513.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6011205010015096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+38
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
59Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
14Foul points2
96Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.5
30.632.0
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
blue by 21.2
56.01.6
52.454.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
Second
21.11.5
18.119.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 13.7
34.91.6
31.132.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
Third
5894
#15
15.91.5
11.412.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
red by 2.1
9515
#20
13.81.6
12.213.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned