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Red119
769114.7
11885.7
432814.0
Blue59
918117.4
458717.1
711510.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14247010020011959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+68Teleop
+70Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
61Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#1
7L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points22
119Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.70.7
83.482.7
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
red by 68.3
9181
#16
17.40.8
18.117.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
Second
7691
#24
14.70.9
15.614.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 2.4
4587
#22
17.10.8
14.313.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Third
4328
#14
14.00.7
14.914.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 3.7
7115
#25
10.31.0
13.412.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned