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Red57
851516.8
951513.8
348115.3
Blue27
711510.3
258527.5
839210.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55642040801005727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
3Coral scored#2
11Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop8
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
18Cage & park6
18Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
18Foul points0
57Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8515
#17
16.80.4
16.816.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
blue by 10.8
27.51.9
28.626.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
3481
#13
15.30.4
14.914.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 4.4
8392
#18
10.91.7
11.69.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Third
9515
#20
13.80.4
13.813.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 3.5
7115
#25
10.32.1
12.410.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed