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Red28
918117.4
288211.6
95219.0
Blue63
526119.5
432814.0
817723.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456802060801001202863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +35
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
3Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
28Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9181
#16
17.40.7
17.316.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
blue by 6.0
8177
#23
23.40.2
22.422.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
Second
2882
#12
11.60.7
11.911.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 7.9
19.50.2
17.117.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Third
9521
#29
9.00.8
9.89.0
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 5.0
4328
#14
14.00.2
14.314.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned