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Red21
432814.0
648821.5
43327.8
Blue50
913726.7
814413.1
851516.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020801001201402150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#8
6Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
10Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points6
21Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6488
#11
21.51.2
19.518.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 5.3
26.70.1
13.713.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
Second
4328
#14
14.01.2
7.56.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 2.8
8515
#17
16.80.1
17.617.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
Third
4332
#30
7.81.2
6.55.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 5.3
8144
#19
13.10.1
10.910.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed