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Red70
851516.8
965821.1
288211.6
Blue57
526119.5
913726.7
458717.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040801007057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
70Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
20.721.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 5.6
26.70.0
24.524.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
Second
8515
#17
16.80.5
16.316.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
blue by 2.8
19.50.0
17.317.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Third
2882
#12
11.60.5
11.111.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 5.6
4587
#22
17.10.0
14.914.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7