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Red93
951513.8
541434.9
1001434.8
Blue64
951720.1
918117.4
348115.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975201502009364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
55Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
93Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.3
34.134.3
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 14.8
9517
#10
20.10.2
19.319.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
Second
34.80.3
34.034.3
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
red by 17.4
9181
#16
17.40.2
16.616.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
Third
9515
#20
13.80.3
13.413.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
blue by 1.5
3481
#13
15.30.2
14.514.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2