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Red119
258527.5
507014.6
817723.4
Blue115
839210.9
1011830.9
589415.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82720200300400500600119115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
84Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
119Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.8
26.727.6
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
blue by 3.4
30.90.7
29.930.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
Second
8177
#23
23.40.8
22.623.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
red by 7.6
5894
#15
15.90.7
14.915.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
5070
#28
14.61.0
13.614.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 3.7
8392
#18
10.90.7
9.910.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0