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Red121
951513.8
1001434.8
541434.9
Blue85
258527.5
507014.6
817723.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987505015020012185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+48Teleop
+40Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
81Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +36
2Foul points6
121Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.7
34.335.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 7.4
27.50.2
27.627.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
34.80.7
34.335.0
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
red by 11.3
8177
#23
23.40.2
23.523.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
Third
9515
#20
13.80.7
13.614.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
blue by 0.8
5070
#28
14.60.2
14.614.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5