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Red57
851516.8
965821.1
288211.6
Blue37
951720.1
918117.4
348115.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56623040507080901005737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+18Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
35Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points0
57Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.1
21.121.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 1.0
9517
#10
20.10.4
20.520.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
Second
8515
#17
16.80.1
16.716.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
blue by 0.7
9181
#16
17.40.4
17.817.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
Third
2882
#12
11.60.1
11.511.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 3.7
3481
#13
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2