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Red196
913712.8
11885.3
680074.0
Blue136
41852.7
288155.7
425113.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193124100150250196136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+70Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points27
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points50
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
135Total teleop82
Reef
13L4#5
10L3#8
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
196Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.30.6
84.785.3
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
red by 29.6
55.70.3
55.355.7
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
Second
74.00.6
73.474.0
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 21.2
418
#4
52.70.3
52.452.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Third
9137
#22
12.80.6
12.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 0.1
4251
#21
13.00.3
12.613.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2