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Red198
913712.8
11885.3
680074.0
Blue130
41852.7
288155.7
425113.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191124100150250198130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+66Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +45
25Coral scored#18
91Coral points64
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
18Processor points0
12Net points12
30Algae points12
121Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#11
12L3#5
10L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
198Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.30.7
84.184.7
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
red by 29.6
55.70.2
55.155.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
Second
74.00.7
72.773.4
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 21.2
418
#4
52.70.2
52.152.4
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Third
9137
#22
12.80.7
11.612.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 0.1
4251
#21
13.00.2
12.412.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2