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Red155
41852.7
288155.7
425113.0
Blue103
268735.0
1011828.2
957719.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1449350200155103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
90Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points2
155Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.5
54.655.1
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
red by 20.7
2687
#13
35.00.1
34.935.0
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
418
#4
52.70.5
51.752.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
red by 24.5
28.20.1
28.228.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
4251
#21
13.00.5
11.912.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 6.4
9577
#24
19.40.1
19.319.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4