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Red113
268735.0
1011828.2
957719.4
Blue107
268938.6
1003215.8
637744.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312050150200113107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#18
41Coral points63
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
12Processor points0
8Net points16
20Algae points16
61Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
113Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#13
35.00.3
34.634.9
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
blue by 9.0
44.00.1
43.944.0
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
Second
28.20.3
27.928.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
blue by 10.4
38.60.1
38.538.6
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
Third
9577
#24
19.40.3
19.019.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 3.6
15.80.1
15.715.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2