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Red66
887920.7
288155.7
505212.3
Blue122
11885.3
637744.0
1003215.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6815405010020066122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+52
Endgame+54
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +43
9Coral scored#17
33Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
39Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points2
66Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.7
39.939.1
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
blue by 29.6
118
#1
85.30.9
70.269.3
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
Second
8879
#16
20.70.8
7.66.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 23.3
44.00.9
39.038.1
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
Third
5052
#25
12.31.2
18.016.8
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 3.4
15.81.1
17.516.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned