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Red19
618011.8
905417.4
913712.8
Blue76
425113.0
41852.7
837017.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3781020601001201401976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#9
9Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
9Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
19Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9054
#12
17.41.6
17.015.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
blue by 35.4
418
#4
52.70.1
38.538.4
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Second
9137
#22
12.82.7
13.611.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 5.1
8370
#17
17.90.1
15.014.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Third
6180
#23
11.81.8
9.37.5
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 1.2
4251
#21
13.00.2
15.415.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed