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Red99
246836.4
931117.6
62441.0
Blue74
950621.6
37439.7
268735.0
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855620401001209974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
55Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
99Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
41.01.7
31.433.0
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 6.1
2687
#13
35.01.1
28.029.2
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
2468
#10
36.41.7
25.226.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 14.8
9506
#14
21.61.9
15.817.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
9311
#18
17.61.7
14.716.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 7.9
3743
#20
9.71.1
7.58.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned