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Red133
857630.4
680074.0
215818.6
Blue71
957719.4
1011828.2
278931.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9661020408012014013371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
19Coral scored#11
69Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
89Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#4
10L3#2
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
133Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.02.2
52.754.9
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 43.0
31.00.5
16.516.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
Second
8576
#15
30.42.2
17.719.9
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
red by 2.2
28.20.3
26.426.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
2158
#11
18.62.2
10.913.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 0.7
9577
#24
19.40.3
14.614.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed