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Red65
837017.9
1003215.8
268938.6
Blue85
637744.0
425113.0
288155.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67108501506585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +34
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
28Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points6
65Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.4
33.332.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
blue by 17.1
55.70.9
39.138.2
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
Second
8370
#17
17.90.4
14.914.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 26.0
44.00.9
38.137.2
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
Third
15.80.6
16.415.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
red by 2.8
4251
#21
13.01.5
15.213.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed