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Red16
887920.7
37439.7
618011.8
Blue79
505212.3
950621.6
246836.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2479040601001201401601679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop45
Reef
0L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
6Foul points12
16Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8879
#16
20.70.9
6.85.9
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 15.7
2468
#10
36.40.4
26.827.2
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
6180
#23
11.80.9
7.56.6
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 9.8
9506
#14
21.60.6
17.718.3
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
3743
#20
9.70.9
8.77.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 2.6
5052
#25
12.30.6
16.817.5
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
4%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed