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Red180
215818.6
1011828.2
680074.0
Blue105
268735.0
905417.4
931117.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176550100150180105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+61Teleop
+69Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
111Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
12Foul points6
180Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.02.7
54.957.6
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 39.0
2687
#13
35.00.1
29.229.2
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
28.22.7
26.128.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
red by 10.7
9311
#18
17.60.1
16.316.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
2158
#11
18.62.7
13.015.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
red by 1.3
9054
#12
17.40.1
15.415.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned