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Red127
278931.0
41852.7
857630.4
Blue160
957719.4
268938.6
11885.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8013950100150200127160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +23
16Coral scored#19
56Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
84Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#7
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
127Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#4
52.72.8
38.441.2
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
blue by 32.6
118
#1
85.32.1
69.371.5
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
Second
31.04.6
16.020.6
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
blue by 7.7
38.62.1
32.935.1
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
Third
8576
#15
30.42.8
19.922.7
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
red by 11.0
9577
#24
19.42.1
14.316.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned