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Red110
950621.6
62441.0
288155.7
Blue68
913712.8
246836.4
425113.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10453020408012014016011068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
4Foul points0
110Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.1
38.239.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
red by 19.3
2468
#10
36.41.1
27.228.3
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
624
#5
41.01.1
33.034.1
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 28.1
4251
#21
13.01.8
13.715.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Third
9506
#14
21.61.8
18.320.1
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
red by 8.7
9137
#22
12.81.8
11.012.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned