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Red53
37439.7
1011828.2
1003215.8
Blue43
268735.0
215818.6
618011.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64644050607080905343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
28Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
53Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.6
28.828.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
blue by 6.7
2687
#13
35.01.5
29.227.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
15.80.9
15.714.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
blue by 2.9
2158
#11
18.61.5
15.814.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Third
3743
#20
9.70.6
7.87.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 2.1
6180
#23
11.81.5
6.65.1
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed