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Red156
637744.0
857630.4
41852.7
Blue184
680074.0
11885.3
905417.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10416450150200156184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points75
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
106Total teleop123
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#5
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
156Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#4
52.72.6
41.243.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
blue by 32.6
118
#1
85.31.5
71.572.9
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
Second
44.02.6
37.239.8
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
blue by 30.0
74.01.5
57.659.1
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
Third
8576
#15
30.42.6
22.725.2
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
red by 13.0
9054
#12
17.41.5
15.517.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned