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Red77
887920.7
837017.9
931117.6
Blue72
62441.0
957719.4
505212.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4687020601001201401607772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +7
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
38Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
24Foul points6
77Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8879
#16
20.70.3
5.96.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 20.3
624
#5
41.00.9
34.133.2
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
Second
8370
#17
17.90.3
14.514.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 1.4
9577
#24
19.40.9
16.515.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
9311
#18
17.60.3
16.416.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 5.3
5052
#25
12.31.5
17.516.0
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed