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Red41
950621.6
215818.6
425113.0
Blue98
41852.7
37439.7
905417.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548102040601001201404198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+43
Endgame+55
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +33
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
36Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points2
41Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9506
#14
21.62.2
20.118.0
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
blue by 31.1
418
#4
52.71.1
43.744.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Second
2158
#11
18.61.3
14.313.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
red by 1.3
9054
#12
17.41.1
17.018.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Third
4251
#21
13.02.2
15.513.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
red by 3.3
3743
#20
9.71.1
7.38.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned