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Red187
62441.0
931117.6
680074.0
Blue170
11885.3
857630.4
887920.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128126100120140160180187170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points26
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
28Coral scored#23
99Coral points82
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
18Processor points30
16Net points16
34Algae points46
133Total teleop128
Reef
8L4#10
12L3#11
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#37
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
187Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.04.0
59.163.2
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
blue by 11.3
118
#1
85.33.3
72.976.2
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
Second
624
#5
41.04.0
33.237.3
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 10.6
8576
#15
30.43.3
25.228.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
9311
#18
17.64.0
16.720.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 3.1
8879
#16
20.73.3
6.29.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned