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Red89
637744.0
957719.4
913712.8
Blue96
246836.4
618011.8
278931.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8359020401001201408996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
75Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
89Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.0
39.840.8
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
red by 7.6
2468
#10
36.42.3
28.330.6
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
9577
#24
19.41.0
15.616.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 11.6
31.03.9
19.323.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
Third
9137
#22
12.81.7
15.617.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 1.1
6180
#23
11.82.3
5.17.4
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned