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Red61
268938.6
505212.3
37439.7
Blue65
905417.4
837017.9
1011828.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727640601001206165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
61Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.4
34.333.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
red by 10.4
28.21.3
28.226.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Second
5052
#25
12.30.7
16.015.2
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 5.6
8370
#17
17.91.3
14.813.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Third
3743
#20
9.70.4
8.37.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 7.7
9054
#12
17.41.3
18.016.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed