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Red119
618011.8
425113.0
680074.0
Blue152
288155.7
278931.0
887920.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98834060120140160119152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
15Coral scored#20
53Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
85Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
119Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.01.2
63.264.4
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 18.3
55.74.1
41.145.2
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
Second
4251
#21
13.02.1
13.415.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 18.0
31.06.8
23.129.9
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
Third
6180
#23
11.81.2
7.48.7
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 8.9
8879
#16
20.74.1
9.513.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned