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Red88
246836.4
957719.4
837017.9
Blue108
505212.3
1011828.2
41852.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691125010015088108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+12
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
63Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
88Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#10
36.41.5
30.632.1
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
blue by 16.3
418
#4
52.71.0
44.845.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Second
9577
#24
19.41.5
16.618.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 8.9
28.21.0
26.927.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
8370
#17
17.91.5
13.515.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
red by 5.6
5052
#25
12.31.7
15.216.9
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned