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Red62
887920.7
905417.4
425113.0
Blue160
278931.0
11885.3
950621.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49161010020025062160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+76
Endgame+86
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +49
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
0Processor points12
12Net points32
12Algae points44
52Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points12
62Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8879
#16
20.70.1
13.613.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 64.6
118
#1
85.30.4
78.578.9
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
Second
9054
#12
17.40.1
16.716.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
blue by 13.6
31.00.7
29.930.6
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
Third
4251
#21
13.00.1
15.415.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 8.6
9506
#14
21.60.7
17.017.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned