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Red160
41852.7
288155.7
1011828.2
Blue75
931117.6
618011.8
957719.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15754010020025016075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+69Teleop
+91Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
26Coral scored#13
93Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
111Total teleop56
Reef
14L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points6
160Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.4
45.246.5
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
red by 36.3
9577
#24
19.40.2
18.118.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Second
418
#4
52.71.4
45.847.2
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
red by 35.1
9311
#18
17.60.2
20.220.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
28.21.4
27.929.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
red by 16.5
6180
#23
11.80.2
8.78.9
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed