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Red70
913712.8
62441.0
268735.0
Blue66
837017.9
857630.4
215818.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936202040801001201401607066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
48Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
70Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
41.01.1
39.638.5
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 10.6
8576
#15
30.40.4
27.427.8
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Second
2687
#13
35.01.1
28.427.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
red by 16.4
2158
#11
18.60.4
15.315.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Third
9137
#22
12.81.8
15.513.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 5.1
8370
#17
17.90.4
15.015.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned