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Red103
246836.4
637744.0
268938.6
Blue91
1003215.8
505212.3
680074.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110540608014016018020010391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points4
18Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
69Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
103Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.8
42.241.4
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
blue by 30.0
74.01.0
64.463.4
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
Second
38.60.8
32.731.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
red by 22.8
15.81.7
16.715.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
Third
2468
#10
36.40.8
32.131.2
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 24.1
5052
#25
12.31.7
16.915.2
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned