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Red64
1011828.2
278931.0
37439.7
Blue118
41852.7
887920.7
950621.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86102406012014016064118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+54
Endgame+44
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +50
7Coral scored#17
24Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
0Processor points6
12Net points20
12Algae points26
36Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points12
64Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.02.0
30.628.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
blue by 21.8
418
#4
52.71.1
47.248.3
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Second
28.21.2
29.328.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
red by 6.7
9506
#14
21.61.8
17.719.5
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
3743
#20
9.71.2
9.38.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 11.0
8879
#16
20.71.1
13.514.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned