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Red59
62441.0
1003215.8
618011.8
Blue74
905417.4
425113.0
268938.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71760501001502005974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
36Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
59Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
41.00.9
38.537.6
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 2.4
38.60.5
31.931.4
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
Second
15.81.5
15.113.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
blue by 1.6
9054
#12
17.40.5
16.616.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Third
6180
#23
11.80.9
8.98.0
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 1.2
4251
#21
13.00.9
15.314.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned