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Red56
957719.4
887920.7
215818.6
Blue35
1011828.2
37439.7
913712.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66634050607080901005635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+29Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +38
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
44Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
56Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8879
#16
20.70.2
14.614.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 7.5
28.21.0
28.127.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Second
9577
#24
19.40.2
18.318.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 6.5
9137
#22
12.81.6
11.59.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Third
2158
#11
18.60.2
14.314.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
red by 8.9
3743
#20
9.71.0
8.17.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned