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Red95
268938.6
637744.0
618011.8
Blue62
957719.4
950621.6
857630.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9971501509562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
61Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
95Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.8
43.744.5
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
red by 13.6
8576
#15
30.40.3
27.827.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Second
38.60.8
31.432.2
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
red by 17.0
9506
#14
21.60.4
19.519.1
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
6180
#23
11.80.8
8.08.8
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 7.6
9577
#24
19.40.3
18.418.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned