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Red76
1003215.8
913712.8
41852.7
Blue24
425113.0
505212.3
931117.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886002040801001201407624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
51Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
76Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#4
52.70.0
47.847.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
red by 35.1
9311
#18
17.62.1
18.616.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Second
15.80.0
13.513.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
red by 2.8
4251
#21
13.03.3
14.511.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Third
9137
#22
12.80.0
9.89.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 0.5
5052
#25
12.33.0
16.313.3
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed